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	<title>CelticBear&#039;s Musings &#187; revolution</title>
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		<title>Big Bad Things CAN happen; we have the ability to change things.</title>
		<link>http://www.celticbear.com/weblog/2008/04/14/big-bad-things-can-happen-we-have-the-ability-to-change-things/</link>
		<comments>http://www.celticbear.com/weblog/2008/04/14/big-bad-things-can-happen-we-have-the-ability-to-change-things/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Apr 2008 22:40:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>CelticBear</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[PHILOSOPHY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[POLITICS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SOCIAL and NEWS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[capitalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[comsumption]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rebellion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[revolution]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[socialism]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.celticbear.com/weblog/?p=959</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I learned in a theory class last year that people have a tendency to think that the way things are are the way things have always been and always will be. Before the Enlightenment, people had a good reason to believe this. For centuries of feudalism everyone followed the feudal ideology living lives defined by [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I learned in a theory class last year that people have a tendency to think that the way things are are the way things have always been and always will be. Before the Enlightenment, people had a good reason to believe this. For centuries of feudalism everyone followed the feudal ideology living lives defined by birth, and going to war only when the royalty or pope needed them to for the purpose of the Crown or the Church.</p>
<p>Until the Scottish rebellion marked the beginning of a zeitgeist that would not really be sensed until the French Revolution. Once that happened, the Western world realized the world can be changed. The Way Things Have Always Been need not be! People have an ability to literally change ideology, alter classes, abolish rulership within a generation, that would have been considered literally impossible only decades earlier.</p>
<p><span id="more-959"></span>And so for the last couple hundred years we have seen scores of socio-political changes that were &#8220;impossible&#8221; and non-existent for centuries before. Governments have risen and fallen, coups, revolutions, revolts. Last night I saw a (bad) documentary on the &#8220;fall&#8221; of socialism (which they conflated with Soviet communism), and they featured the Russian coup of 1991 which was overwhelmed by the people taking power back from the statist Communists, solidifying the end of the Soviet Union. And the earlier Polish worker&#8217;s &#8220;Solidarity&#8221; strikes. A couple of weeks ago I watched the Bertolucci film <a href="http://imdb.com/title/tt0309987/"><em>The Dreamers</em></a> which took place during the Paris &#8220;<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/May_1968">Student Protests</a>&#8221; and general strike in 1968 and came within an inch of replacing the French government and introducing a Marxist socialist government. The Chinese <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tiananmen_Square_protests_of_1989">Tiananmen Square protest</a>. Within my own lifetime we have seen social strife and rebellion and massive political change isn&#8217;t relegated to banana republics and 3rd world countries.</p>
<p>Sinclair Lewis wrote in 1935, <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Cant-Happen-Here-Sinclair-Lewis/dp/045121658X/ref=pd_bbs_sr_2?ie=UTF8&amp;s=books&amp;qid=1208209899&amp;sr=8-2"><em>It Can&#8217;t Happen Here</em></a>, about how America can become a fascist state. <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Can-Happen-Here-Authoritarian-Peril/dp/0312379307/ref=pd_bbs_sr_1?ie=UTF8&amp;s=books&amp;qid=1208209899&amp;sr=8-1"><em>It CAN Happen Here</em></a>, written a couple of years ago, details how we&#8217;re as close to it as ever&#8211;if not already in the early stages. We&#8217;ve had it pretty good some time. Since the Civil War. But then there was the Great Depression. We think of it as a natural disaster that happens almost never, but we forget that it was caused by grossly unbalanced market forces precipitated by unregulated corporate greed and exacerbated by conservative laizzes-fair political leadership. Some of the very same conditions which exist today. Only fifty years ago we had the largest protest and civil upheaval the country has experienced since the Depression, in the Civil Rights Movement.</p>
<p>Crisis, change, social upheaval have been rare and generally mild and not affecting all or most Americans (directly) because we&#8217;ve been fortunate enough to be isolated from the rest of the world for most of our history. Our citizens have grown rich (compared to the rest of the world) and comfortable and complacent. We&#8217;re the frog in the pot of water that&#8217;s had the heat turned up ever-so-slowly, falling asleep before we boil. We&#8217;ve allowed neo-con fascism to being to take hold, and that&#8217;s not going to fundamentally change with a Democratic President.</p>
<p>What&#8217;s prompted me to write this reminder that Big Things happen in the modern world and can happen to us, again, is this report on food costs and shortages which have affected &#8220;developing&#8221; nations all along, but have started to seriously affect &#8220;2nd world&#8221; nations, and we as the last Super Power can also feel the growing instability, uncertainty, and possible crisis:</p>
<p><strong>â™¦ <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/americas/04/14/world.food.crisis/index.html">Riots, instability spread as food prices skyrocket</a></strong></p>
<p>We&#8217;re in a new Gilded Age like the one which preceded the Great Depression, in which the gulf between the rich and poor in America is obscene. The middle class is coming closer and closer to the poverty line. Worse, they&#8217;re having less and less political power. The wealth and the political power belong to the ruling class and the corporations who assure us &#8220;we feel the pinch right along with you&#8221; even as they secure their wealth in Dubai and the Camen Islands.<br />
The U.S. dollar becomes more devalued every day, and is starting to become refused in places around the world. Our national debt is so huge, our entire economy could collapse in a single day should certain countries sell their portion of our debt on the market. Unemployment is climbing, homelessness is climbing. Our infrastructure (roads, bridges, air travel system,) which support our economy, are literally falling apart. Enrollment in higher education is as low as it&#8217;s been since WWII.</p>
<p>Not to be an alarmist, but things aren&#8217;t looking so good.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s entirely possible nothing Too Bad will happen, things will right themselves, we&#8217;ll get back on track, and we&#8217;ll go for another hundred years of television watching. But if the situations in this article are accurate, can we really expect things to not get seriously worse? Many estimate we&#8217;ve reached peak oil, and demand for oil will only accelerate beyond supply. Prices will rise, around the world food cost will rise and availability decrease. Our warrior culture and empire spreading will only weaken our ability to deal with social issues as our economy weakens and collapses.</p>
<p>I have no solutions to offer. Presidents Harding and Hoover made the Depression happen the way it did because they pandered to the robber barons and the monopolies. They themselves were rich oligarchs who cared nothing for the people, but only power and wealth their position could grant them. We need to remove from government the corporate owned rich elites. We need to pull back our military empire and stop spending billions of dollars a day&#8211;that we don&#8217;t even have in the first place!&#8211;on foreign wars that only weaken our diplomatic and financial status in the world. We need to put focus back on rebuilding domestic infrastructure while we can, and return manufacturing jobs back here instead of shipping them to countries of cheap labor. We need to regulate corporate political influence, international trade policies, off-shore financing and banking, and CEO/board responsibility for corporate actions and behavior. And make it a major, highest priority, to get off oil addiction before we get to a point in which we aren&#8217;t even able to research and build non-oil-based power plants and transportation options because our nation can&#8217;t afford the fuel and resources to do so.</p>
<p><strong>Question is: Will Americans know when it&#8217;s time for revolution before it gets too bad for it to make any difference?!</strong></p>
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		<title>The free market corrects (for errors in being trusting).</title>
		<link>http://www.celticbear.com/weblog/2008/01/18/the-free-market-corrects-for-errors-in-being-trusting/</link>
		<comments>http://www.celticbear.com/weblog/2008/01/18/the-free-market-corrects-for-errors-in-being-trusting/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 18 Jan 2008 21:43:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>CelticBear</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[PERSONAL]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[revolution]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.celticbear.com/weblog/2008/01/18/the-free-market-corrects-for-errors-in-being-trusting/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I listen to a lot of podcasts, most of them about skepticism, humanism, science fiction, writing, grammar, literature&#8230;and there&#8217;s one I listen to called &#8220;Sex Is Fun.&#8221; It&#8217;s an educational show that focuses on sex-positive health issues, issues of sexual identity, lifestyles, concerns and dysfunction, product reviews, sexual politics, as well as being fun and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I listen to a lot of podcasts, most of them about skepticism, humanism, science fiction, writing, grammar, literature&#8230;and there&#8217;s one I listen to called &#8220;<a href="http://greatsexgames.com/podcast/">Sex Is Fun</a>.&#8221; It&#8217;s an educational show that focuses on sex-positive health issues, issues of sexual identity, lifestyles, concerns and dysfunction, product reviews, sexual politics, as well as being fun and entertaining.<br />
<em>(If you&#8217;re giggling, judging, or shocked, get over it. Sex is a part of life, part of being human, and I think the American neurosis of making sex a taboo and fringe topic is part of what&#8217;s lead our culture to be schizophrenically obsessed by and sheltered from it, with some of the highest rates of rape and child molestation and harassment of any modern country.)</em><br />
OK, to the point of this blog entry&#8230;</p>
<p>I&#8217;m using this podcast as an illustration of why I disagree with the economic libertarianism, true laissez-faire objectivismist philosophy is unworkable and morally bankrupt.</p>
<p>A year or so ago in the SiF podcast, the hosts discussed those herbal &#8220;performance enhancers&#8221; that are supposed to increase libido and &#8220;male performance.&#8221;<br />
(One of the problems right there with deregulation: While over-the-counter medicine is stringently regulated by the FDA, &#8220;herbal supplements&#8221; are not regulated <em>at all!</em> You can walk into you local Walgreen&#8217;s or grocery store, pick up some herbal supplements, homeopathic remedies, and have absolutely no idea of what&#8217;s in them and what it does. They could do absolutely nothing, or they could have undocumented side-effects, they could have effects with other medications no one has tested for, and every unregulated capsule can have radically different potencies from capsule to capsule.)<br />
And after trying several that are on the market, (another problem of lack of regulation: You have to be your own guinea pig or trust the reviews of some other guinea pig who may have completely shoddy or non-existent experimental controls, methodology, and data review procedures,) the main host and his co-hosts came to the conclusion that they&#8217;re all useless and ineffective. (Herbal supplements don&#8217;t have to prove any kind of efficacy to be put on the shelf. They can&#8217;t make any specific claims about curing any diseases or illnesses, but other than that, they can say whatever they want and leave it to the buyer to beware regarding supplements with untried and unproven pharmacology (no matter what the Indian shaman says about saw palmeto).)</p>
<p>Except one. There was one enhancement supplement which actually did work! Miracle! Ah, except, it was later found out that the manufacturer was putting in the same chemical that is used in Viagra and was taken off the market.</p>
<p>Now, I&#8217;m actually only through phase one of this story, there&#8217;s a part two coming. But let me stop to say this is the point in which your market libertarian will jump and exclaim: &#8220;Ah ha! See, the market adjusts! Let the free market work and it will adjust. People who do underhanded things will not be able to sell their wares and people will move on to the competition.&#8221;</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s keep in mind that this example of the unregulated and free market allows some someone to do what they want until they get called on. The manufacturer of this product may get sued, may have a settlement to pay, may even have criminal charges filed (which is only possible in a NON-truly libertarian society, by the way)&#8211;but all of it <strong><em>after</em></strong> the damage is done. Libertarians love to use the argument when fighting for gun ownership rights that the police don&#8217;t <strong>prevent</strong> crime, they come in <strong>after</strong> the crime has already happened to take names and investigate it (actually, this is an argument I myself believe in)&#8211;but market libertarians are blind to the fact that their disgust for why police are ineffective is exactly the same reason why market libertarianism, objectivism, is ineffective at anything except encouraging abuse, corruption, greed, people taking as much advantage of other people as possible and doing everything and anything possible to get away with it.</p>
<p>And they will too, for a long time, without regulation and stringent monitoring. How long do you think this supplement company got away with it? How many people possibly took the supplement before someone checked things out? How many people may have encounter heart or vision problems before someone decided to try making a connection with this supplement and pay for a chemical analysis of it? Could have been a day, could have been years. And that&#8217;s the nature of the market. It adjusts only after damage is done, and that damage could be great and widespread before someone does anything about it. And by then, the perpetrator could be <em>long</em> gone.</p>
<p>Now for part two. So that enhancement supplement is taken off the shelves, people know about it, they move on to the competition. The SiF podcast hosts come upon another enhancement supplement called &#8220;Boom Energy.&#8221; They check it out, actually talk to the manufacturer and distributor, and are convinced this supplement is &#8220;all natural.&#8221; The distributor is quite aware of the other, nefarious product, and assures the hosts and the audience that they&#8217;re on the up-and-up. And the product works. Even three out of the four female co-hosts report some marked amount of increase in libido and positive physical changes. Boom ends up sponsoring the podcast for nearly a year.</p>
<p>Then guess what. Yep, you guessed it&#8211;Boom is outted as also including low dosage of the Viagra active ingredient in their product.</p>
<p>So, how well did the market react and adjust? Just as one company is shut down for its practices, another one well aware of it and the results, does the same thing. Why? Because the drive of the profit motive is too high for people who care more about money than service or ethics. And the deregulated, open market fosters and encourages that kind of corporate sociopathy. In a deregulated industry, what incentive does the unscrupulous company (it&#8217;s owners, operators, R&#038;D, etc) have to not put out a shoddy or potentially harmful product if they know the only thing that&#8217;s going to stop them is if finally enough people are hurt by it that a connection is made and a privately funded investigation is opened, when you plan on having made enough money by that time to skip off to the Camen Islands? </p>
<p>And that time is shorter only if there&#8217;s potential and significant harm (imagine a world in which over the counters weren&#8217;t regulated, and you could and would be expected to buy your heart medication, diabetes medication, anti-psychotics, AIDS inhibitors, liver disease treatment drugs off the shelf from companies that have nothing to hold them accountable to quality control safety and efficacy except possible eventual lawsuits?!) When a company puts out a completely ineffectual product, cognitive biases, placebo effect, confirmation biases, permit that product to sell and make ridiculous despite their ineffectualness. Even private clinical research can&#8217;t stop a company from putting out a worthless product and taking advantage of people who because of the nature of the product, can only assume it&#8217;s on the shelf because it works. We don&#8217;t even have to live in &#8220;that world,&#8221; it&#8217;s all around us right now! Test after test after test have shown the ingredients in Airborne do absolutely nothing to stop or even shorten a cold, homeopathic remedies are water, many herbs do not do what they&#8217;re advertised to do (although they may cause unresearched side-effects and drug reactions), and yet our store shelves are filled with it.</p>
<p>The market libertarian assumes that the average consumer will take the time and effort to research every product and company they chose to buy from. Think about it: Do you have time enough to do what you try to do already&#8211;work, family, friends, a life and pursuit of happiness, that you have time to research every product you buy from shampoo to peanut butter, to make sure independent laboratory tests (assuming any have even been done, have been published, and been done by someone not paid by the company itself!) show the product to be safe and contain what it&#8217;s advertised, and show a consistently better-than-placebo level of efficacy? (Yes, I suppose that may apply to products like shampoo as well *grin*.)</p>
<p>Our level of trust in aspects of the government is pretty low for many reasons. I myself trust the government far less than the average person. But even slightly flawed programs like the FDA, Medicare, the pre-Bush Veteran&#8217;s Administration, pre-Reagan banking regulation and housing finance regulations, worked well enough to help protect us to a degree <em><strong>far</strong></em> higher than if they didn&#8217;t exist and it was a consumer wild west out there. The neo-cons want to destroy the government and replace it with corporate rule, the objectivists want to destroy government and replace it with a utopian idea of free market rule (that somehow can magically withstand the machinacions and control that could be leveraged by mega-corporations). The problem isn&#8217;t necessarily government, it&#8217;s government that&#8217;s for sale that&#8217;s the problem. And that&#8217;s been the case for 100 years now, since Presidents Harding and Hoover and the robber barons who literally bought laws to protect their corporate interests at the expense of both labor and the consumer. And it took a giant step forward with Reagan and the Bush&#8217;s (and with Clinton as well, lest he&#8217;s put on some pedestal. He wasn&#8217;t as bad at handing government over to the wealthy and the corporate as Reagan, but he&#8217;s not innocent of it either. And neither will Hilary.)</p>
<p>Whether we can return to a truly representative democratic government that&#8217;s for and by the people, I don&#8217;t know. Instead of the corporate media controlled charade we have now, where each candidate (except a couple who have less than no chance of getting a nomination) is different from the other in only degrees. The power of global market capitalism may be too powerful and the handing over of America to the wealthy elite too far advanced. Some anarcho-socialists believe nothing short of revolution, complete market collapse, or massive environmental disaster of continent-size scale can wrest control of government back into the hands of the people.</p>
<p>One can only hope.</p>
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